Ford vehicle sales outlook:
'Worst is over'
Bryce G. Hoffman / The Detroit News
Nov 15, 2009
Ford Motor Co.'s top sales analyst said this November U.S. sales appear to be at least as strong as October, meaning the industry has once again found its footing after one of the worst declines in history.
"So far, so good. We won't fall backwards from October," said George Pipas, head of sales analysis and forecasting at Ford. "The worst is over -- both from an economic standpoint and from an automotive standpoint."
However, he warned that the recovery remains fragile, largely because too many Americans remain out of work.
"(Unemployment) is a drag on consumer psychology," Pipas said. "The recession may be over and the recovery may have begun, but for many, many consumers it may not feel like it's over even 12 months from now."
As a result, Ford is projecting only modest sales gains in 2010.
Speaking Friday at the Automotive Press Association, Pipas said the industry that emerges from this downturn will be changed dramatically, with more consumers opting for smaller cars and crossovers. He said these vehicles will represent the largest market segment in the United States by 2013.
That is partly due to concerns about fuel prices, which Pipas said will remain volatile. He predicted that gasoline will hit $4 a gallon again -- probably next summer.
Analyst Jim Hall of 2953 Analytics LLP in Birmingham said that is convenient, considering that Ford has shifted its entire product strategy in that direction. But he believes new, fuel-saving technologies will keep American motorists in larger vehicles.
"Some of the best of these (technologies) are too expensive to put into small cars," Hall said, adding that innovations like advanced six-speed transmissions and smaller turbocharged engines should allow automakers to meet tougher federal emissions requirements with larger vehicles, too.
"There's no penalty for big in this country."
But Pipas said the shift to smaller vehicles is about more than fuel prices.
He said it reflects changing demographics and a new, less-ostentatious aesthetic.
"Consumers in the future will be more careful about living within their means," he said. |
Ford fast-tracks new cop car to replace Crown Vic
Bryce G. Hoffman / The Detroit News
November 14, 2009
Ford Motor Co. today confirmed that it is developing a new police interceptor to replace the Ford Crown Victoria when production of that model ends in 2011.
As The Detroit News first reported in August, the Dearborn automaker has decided to abandon the elderly Crown Vic platform in favor of an all-new police sedan, which will most likely be built off the new Ford Taurus platform.
"We have heard the repeated requests from the law enforcement community to continue uninterrupted support of the law enforcement community," said Ford Americas President Mark Fields. "Ford is answering the call with the new Police Interceptor -- engineered and built in America."
Ford said the new vehicle -- dubbed the Ford Police Interceptor -- will offer greater durability, better safety, stronger performance and greater fuel-efficiency than the venerable Crown Vic, which is the leader in the law enforcement segment, accounting for 75 percent of the police pursuit business in the United States today.
The new Police Interceptor is being developed with input from Ford's Police Advisory Board, which includes representatives from major police departments around the country.
"Ford's commitment to the law enforcement community produced the Crown Victoria, the benchmark police vehicle," said Lt. Brian Moran, fleet manager for the Los Angeles County Sheriff's Department and a member of the advisory board. "This commitment has continued, and Ford has been working closely with the Police Advisory Board on developing the new Police Interceptor. I am confident that the next-generation Ford police vehicle will meet the future needs of the law enforcement community and will set the new standard."
Ford said it will unveil the new model in the first quarter of 2010 to give law enforcement agencies time to develop transition plans and outfitters time to develop aftermarket equipment for the vehicle.
"Ford long has supported our public servants with vehicles that work as hard as they do," said Ken Czubay, head of marketing, sales and service in the United States. "We intend to build on this legacy with a new generation of municipal and police vehicles that set even higher standards."
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Ford Fusion has record year
Bryce G. Hoffman / The Detroit News
Nov 13, 2009
Sales of the Ford Fusion have topped 151,000 units this year, making it the best-selling car from a domestic manufacturer.
Ford Motor Co. today said its popular midsized sedan already has set a new annual sales record -- pasting its previous high of 149,552 units set in 2007.
"It's extraordinary that a car could set a sales record in an environment where overall industry sales are down 26 percent from a year ago," said Ford sales analyst George Pipas.
In the first 10 months of this year, Fusion sales were 15 percent higher than they were during the same period in 2008, making it one of the top 10 best-selling vehicles in the country.
Fusion sales received a big boost from the new Fusion Hybrid, which now accounts for nearly 20 percent of all Fusion retail sales. And Ford said more than 60 percent of those buying the hybrid model are converts from other brands -- primarily Toyota and Honda.
It also has been helped by stellar ratings from influential publications like Consumer Reports, which says its quality is now superior to competing models from Japan's leading carmakers.
The Fusion was introduced in 2005 as a 2006 model. It is produced in Hermosillo, Mexico.
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Kansas Ford plant voting
on strike over workload
Bryce G. Hoffman / The Detroit News
Nov 13, 2009
Workers at Ford Motor Co.'s Kansas City Assembly Plant in Claycomo, Mo., are holding a strike authorization vote today after a disagreement over workloads, but no work stoppage is expected.
The dispute began during the company's annual "rebalancing" talks with the union, which are aimed at increasing the plant's efficiency.
According to people familiar with the situation, the United Auto Workers feels that some of the proposed changes would give some workers too many tasks to perform. A strike vote is typically taken in such cases as a way of increasing pressure on the company, though these rarely result in actual work stoppages.
However, the situation at the Kansas City plant, which produces the Ford F-150 and Escape, the Mercury Mariner and the Mazda Tribute, remains volatile after 92 percent of UAW members there rejected a recent agreement on concessions between the union and Ford.
Ford spokeswoman Marcey Evans said senior managers are at the plant, negotiating directly with local leaders and leaders of the UAW's national Ford section.
"We are working together with the union to address their concerns," she said. "We have a contractual process that we follow to address such issues, and this is part of that process."
While several strike votes have been taken nationwide, Evans noted that none have resulted in a work stoppage at any Ford plant in the past 20 years.
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No flash, but plenty of dash
It's practical, affordable, comfortable and well laid out. If those are your criteria, this is a compact you should definitely be looking at
JOHN HEINZL - Globe & Mail
November 12, 2009
Mention the Ford Focus, and certain adjectives jump to mind: Practical. Affordable. Unassuming.
Exciting? Exhilarating? Uh, no.
So when I arrived to pick up my test car, a sporty Focus SES model, I was pleasantly surprised to find it adorned with 17-inch aluminum rims, a dark chrome grille, fog lamps and a rear spoiler. Far from boring, the car looked ready for a road rally.
I had a different sort of endurance test in mind, however: A week of highway and city driving with my wife and two kids, aged four and seven. There would be no mud-splattered windshields, but Cheerios getting wedged between the seats was a distinct possibility.
FIRST IMPRESSIONS
Inside the car, the pleasant surprises continued.
The Focus's black and silver interior exuded a refined look, and the radio and climate controls were logically laid out and intuitive. Another nice feature was the "driver's message centre" that displayed the time, outdoor temperature, radio information and vehicle direction. Located in the centre of the dash-top, the display was easy to glance at without taking my eyes off the road. Presumably, this reduces the odds of swerving into a ditch while trying to read the name of the song that's playing.
On the road, I was impressed by the Focus's crisp handling. The SES sedan - a notch below the top-of-the line SEL - has a performance suspension that makes for nimble cornering while maintaining a fairly supple ride. In other words, it's a fun car to drive, not the bland econo-box I had expected. The car feels secure and surefooted, unlike some other small cars that drive more like go-karts.
When I asked my wife what she thought of the Focus, she said it seemed solid and well built. "If I hadn't known it was a Ford I would have thought it was a Japanese car," she said. Consumer Reports gives the Focus an above-average grade for reliability and a coveted "recommended" rating.
THE KIDS ARE ALRIGHT
The good news for families: The rear of the Focus easily accommodates two child seats. The bad news? That's about all you're going to get back there.
I had assumed that because the Focus advertises itself as a five-seater, we'd be able to fit three people in the back. Wrong. In fairness, the problem isn't unique to the Focus - two child seats are going to eat up most of the back seat of any compact, rendering the centre position uninhabitable by anyone wider than a slice of processed cheese.
But that's why it's called a compact, and not a minivan. That said, our two kids had plenty of room, and there was even space left over for my four-year-old daughter's travelling accessories: two baby dolls, two blankets and a fuzzy, wheeled suitcase.
Up front, mom and dad also travelled in comfort, thanks to the ample leg room and seats that provided good lumbar support.
As for cargo capacity, the Focus's trunk can't compete with a minivan or SUV. But put a roof rack on this baby and you're good to go just about anywhere.
THE SOUND SYSTEM
Our car came with a $700 "premium" sound system, but when I tuned the satellite radio to my favourite seventies channel, I was disappointed: The bass was muddy and the overall sound lacked clarity.
Compared with the top-of-the-line tune box in the Ford Flex I tested this year, the Focus's sound system fell short. At highway speeds, significant wind and road noise compounded the stereo's shortcomings.
I'm fairly particular about my music, having toiled in several unsuccessful and short-lived rock 'n' roll bands in my parents' basement and elsewhere. Other people may not be bothered by the Focus's stereo and, certainly, there are more important considerations when choosing a vehicle - safety, for example.
PLENTIFUL FEATURES
One thing that must be said about the Focus is that it packs a lot of features for the money: Four-wheel antilock brakes and electronic stability control are standard on all Focus models.
So is the MyKey system, which allows parents to program specially coded keys to limit the vehicle's top speed to 129 km/h. The system can also limit the stereo volume and activate warning chimes when the vehicle reaches speeds of 72 km/h, 88 km/h and 108 km/h.
Other standard features across the Focus lineup include dual-stage front airbags and side-curtain airbags in both rows, remote keyless entry and power locks. Sync - Ford's voice-activated communications system for Bluetooth-enabled cellphones and media players - is standard on the SES and top-of-the-line SEL models. Two 12-volt power outlets are also standard - a good thing if you're planning a long road trip with kids who carry portable video games and other devices.
THE COMPETITION
The Focus has some tough competition in the Honda Civic, Mazda3 and Hyundai Elantra. But if you're looking for a vehicle that delivers value, reliability, good fuel economy and is fun to drive, the Focus SES is worth considering.
My only regret is that I didn't get to test the five-speed manual. As much as I enjoyed zipping around in the four-speed automatic, driving the SES with a stick would have been even more fun. And, as long as we're talking about value, it's worth noting that the five-speed costs $1,150 less.
2010 FORD FOCUS SEDAN SES
Type: Compact sedan
Base Price: $20,399; as tested, $23,699
Engine: 2.0-litre, DOHC, four-cylinder
Horsepower/Torque:
140 hp/136 lb-ft
Transmission: Four-speed automatic
Drive: Front-wheel-drive
Fuel economy (litres/100 km):
8.4 city/5.8 highway; regular gas
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Why is Nov. 11th blooming?
MICHAEL VALPY
From Wednesday's Globe and Mail Published on Wednesday, Nov. 11, 2009
The annual Remembrance Day is growing like poppies.
The televised bodies being brought home from Afghanistan have made a difference. The military used to bury casualties where they fell.
The 20,000 Second World War veterans who die each year - 400 a week - have brought more focus to the day. In the 1990s, there were 400,000 veterans. In March, the Department of Veterans Affairs said there were 163,450. Now only 155,000 remain. Their average age is 86.
Former governor-general Adrienne Clarkson's powerful eulogy at the dedication of Tomb of the Unknown Soldier in 2000 caught the nation's attention. As did the media coverage of the 50th anniversaries of D-Day and VE-Day in 1995 and, three years before that, of the controversy over the CBC television documentary The Valour and the Horror and its allegations of Canadian military brutality.
It all means that, since the early 1990s, Nov. 11 has blossomed. That represents an extraordinary cultural shift for Canadians, who only a few years ago displayed a marked inclination to ignore their armed forces, or see them solely as peacekeepers.
"There's a real fascination among young people about the war experience and, surprisingly to me, particularly the First World War," said Queen's University military historian Allan English. "I think what it is showing is a real kind of renaissance and interest in part of our history."
For years there was a one-minute commemorative silence at 11 a.m. - marking the 11th hour of the 11th day of the 11th month when the guns fell silent in Europe in 1918 to end the First World War. Now there is a two-minute silence, formalized by a unanimous motion passed last week by members of the House of Commons asking Canadians at home, at work, in school, on the street, to pause to mark those who died for Canada.
The Department of Veterans Affairs has gone beyond a commemorative day for veterans and instituted a commemorative week.
The number of people attending the ceremony at Ottawa's National War Memorial in 1993 was 8,000. In 2003, it was 25,000. CBC's television audience for the ceremony in 1993 was 750,000. In 2003, it was two million. This year, with Prince Charles in attendance, it almost certainly will be greater.
The polling firm Ipsos Reid reported this week that 20 per cent of Canadians surveyed said they would attend a Remembrance Day ceremony today - up from 16 per cent last year.
"I'm astonished to find my 10-year-old granddaughter is singing Remembrance Day songs in school," said military historian Jack Granatstein, former head of the National War Museum.
Last night, the Prime Minister was a featured speaker at a Toronto gala in support of Canadian military families, titled True Patriot Love. Veterans Affairs has created a "How Will You Remember" site and a popular Canada Remembers Facebook fan page. Schools and universities are suddenly redoing faded, weatherworn memorials to students who died in war.
Why the interest in war and not in other parts of our history?
"Part of it is that war fascinates people. It's dramatic. It's violent. It's interesting things, tragic things, heroic things, and people like good stories and that's part of history - telling a good story," Prof. English said.
Senior Royal Canadian Legion official Robert Butt said: "For a while, probably during the 1970s and 1980s, it wasn't de rigueur to commemorate veterans because a lot of people looked at commemorating veterans and their sacrifice as a celebration of war.
"But I think a lot of that has changed. And as our vets grow older and people start to realize that pretty soon ...
"We've only got one First World War vet left. You know, people do grow older and they die every day. But the big change is that they're bringing bodies home. It's there on TV for everybody to see."
The old and the young, the veterans and the serving soldiers, they die every day.
As the coffins are flown out of Afghanistan draped in the Maple Leaf flag, Prof. English said, "it brings home the reality that maybe Canadians hadn't seen or experienced for some time."
It is also giving the Legion a long supply of Silver Cross mothers - when only a few years ago they'd all but run out.
And the two-minute silence? That was actually the original 1918 time of silence, but as interest in remembrance faded, Mr. Butt said, it was shortened to one minute. In 1999, the Legion pushed it back to two minutes.
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Ford confirms plant
closing
as GM invests
GREG KEENAN
From Tuesday's Globe and Mail Published on Tuesday, Nov. 10, 2009
Ford Motor Co. has made it official, confirming that it will shut its St. Thomas Assembly Plant in Southwestern Ontario in the third quarter of 2011.
A letter making the closing official was distributed to the 1,500 employees yesterday, the same day that General Motors of Canada Ltd. was announcing that its Cami Automotive Inc. operation in Ingersoll, Ont., about 45 minutes east of the Ford plant, is receiving a $90-million upgrade to increase production capacity.
The good news-bad news scenario for the Ontario-based auto industry and two plants contrasts sharply with the recent history of the two companies. That history includes a trip through Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection for General Motors Co. and a surprise third-quarter profit at Ford, which stayed out of bankruptcy protection and did not receive a government bailout.
Nonetheless, "unprecedented economic conditions and market forces have required the company to aggressively restructure our business and to consolidate our capacity in order to position the company for future success," Jim Tetreault, Ford's vice-president of North American manufacturing, said in a letter distributed to employees yesterday. "The vehicles manufactured at the St. Thomas Assembly Plant will no longer be required in our product portfolio and no incremental product could be identified to be manufactured at the facility," Mr. Tetreault said.
Those vehicles are the Ford Crown Victoria, Mercury Grand Marquis and Lincoln Town Car full-sized sedans, pushed off in recent years mainly to fleet customers such taxi companies and police forces.
But the gas guzzlers are pariahs now among governments, which are forcing the fleet owners they regulate and own to purchase more environmentally friendly vehicles.
Canadian Auto Workers president Ken Lewenza said although Ford made it clear during recent contract talks that the plant is closing, "this is very tough news."
Mr. Lewenza praised GM and the federal and provincial governments, however, for the GM investment, which will bring 150 Cami workers back from layoff and lead to increased production of Chevrolet Equinox and GMC Terrain compact crossover utility vehicles.
Retooling one of two body shops at Cami will enable the plant to increase production by about 40,000 vehicles a year.
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Demand for GM's
Camaro blistering
3-month wait times and soaring sales. But
union says GM isn't revving production
Nov 10, 2009 - Tony Van Alphen
General Motors is jacking up output and jobs for workers at the CAMI assembly plant in Ingersoll because of demand for its crossover vehicles, but their union wants the company to also add more production for a hot model in Oshawa.
Chris Buckley, president of Canadian Auto Workers Local 222, said Monday the company should be adding a second shift and another 800 jobs at its Oshawa complex to meet soaring demand for the Chevrolet Camaro muscle sports car.
Buckley said in an interview that customers are waiting an average of three months for the model, which increases the risk of losing business.
"At a time like this, when GM is struggling so much, we should be seizing the moment," he said.
Buckley added that even if a second shift may be only temporary and lead to layoffs again in Oshawa because of a decline in demand, the company should take advantage of any market interest.
Buckley said he has written two letters to GM chief executive officer Fritz Henderson. But a senior GM official replied that the parent company has no plans to boost Camaro production because it expects demand to ease after a hot start.
Stew Low, GM's director of communications, confirmed the current average delivery time for Camaros is about 12 weeks and the company has scheduled Saturday overtime to meet demand.
However, customers have said waiting times in some cases are much longer for the popular car .
GM stopped building the iconic car earlier this decade in Ste.Therese, Que., but began producing it again in Oshawa in January. The company has promoted it heavily with newspaper ads carrying the headline "Lust Conquers All."
About 1,000 workers produce 440 Camaros daily at the Oshawa car complex. The company produces the Chevrolet Impala on another line in the complex.
There is speculation that GM will start building a convertible version of the Camaro late next year. It is planning a Buick model and more jobs for the complex in early 2011.
GM confirmed Monday that it would invest $90 million in CAMI, a joint venture with Suzuki Motor Co. The company is retooling a body shop in the plant that will boost annual production capacity from about 200,000 to 240,000.
Mike Van Boekel, the CAW's plant chairman, said the investment will partially remove a "bottleneck," and speed up output. It will also mean the eventual recall of 150 laid-off workers.
The Star reported in September that GM was considering an investment for the body shop changes but the company said it was premature to discuss the situation.
CAMI started a third shift and added 350 workers in October to meet heavy demand for the Chevrolet Equinox and GMC Terrain crossover vehicles.
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GM to spend $100-million on retooling Ontario plant
Greg Keenan
Toronto — Globe and Mail Nov 9, 2009
General Motors Co. will invest nearly $100-million to increase production capacity at one of its Canadian assembly plants, a move that signals the auto maker's growing confidence in the auto recovery and robust consumer demand for the two vehicles made at the plant.
The upgrade to Cami Automotive Inc. will be announced this morning at the plant in Ingersoll, Ont., sources familiar with GM's plans said.
The investment is designed to increase output of the Chevrolet Equinox and GMC Terrain crossover utility vehicles, which have experienced hot consumer demand and helped GM produce its first monthly U.S. sales gain in 21 months in October.
The move, which comes about four months after GM emerged from Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection with the help of the U.S., Canadian and Ontario governments, reverses a recent trend of slashing capacity at its North American operations.
But although it is a sign that the financial health of the automotive industry and the company is improving, it does not likely herald a wider expansion on GM's part in the domestic auto sector – at least, not right now.
Cami now has the capacity to make about 250,000 vehicles a year.
GM will increase that by retooling one of two body shops in the joint venture plant and making other adjustments. Those include such efforts as utilizing space and equipment that has been sitting idle since the auto maker's partner, Suzuki Motor Co. Ltd., halted production of its XL7 crossover utility vehicle earlier this year.
The retooling, which is expected to cost about $90-million, will take place over the next seven months and lead to the recall of about 150 workers who are on layoff, sources said.
Another 350 workers were recalled last month when GM restored a third shift of production at the plant. When this project is completed, about 2,200 workers will be fully employed and none will be on layoff.
GM is striking now, while the Equinox and Terrain are popular, because vehicles are the most profitable when they are new or redesigned models and profit-sapping incentives are not needed to move them off dealers` lots.
The auto maker closed a full-sized pickup truck plant in Oshawa, Ont., in May and closed one of its car plants in that city earlier this decade. It also closed several U.S. plants as part of a restructuring that left the three governments as the company's largest owners, with 72 per cent of its shares. Ottawa and Ontario own about 12 per cent.
While GM was heading toward bankruptcy protection in May, Cami began cranking out a redesigned version of the Equinox and it is now GM's second highest-selling crossover utility vehicle, behind the larger Chevrolet Traverse.
Sales of Terrain soared 124 per cent last month from September levels and were 80 per cent higher than sales in October, 2008, of the vehicles it replaced, the Pontiac Torrent and GMC Envoy.
An increase in production from the 54,942 vehicles Cami has produced so far this year will also benefit parts makers, including Magna International Inc., which turns out about $1,800 (U.S.) worth of parts for each of those vehicles, including the seats.
The Canadian Auto Workers union, which represents workers at the plant, pressed GM to increase capacity at CAMI instead of assembling Equinox and Terrain at another plant, after signing a deal in September that cut benefits and froze wages and pensions. In return, GM agreed to make the replacement products for the two crossovers at Cami after 2014.
The plant, which started as a GM-Suzuki joint venture in 1989, has never reached full capacity, peaking at 196,598 in 2006.
A source at one supplier noted yesterday that it has been a “boom and bust” operation for 20 years.
“We don't have a whole lot of faith in their ability to sustain these high volumes past next August,” the source said.
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Olive: Can Chrysler be fixed?
Fiat's Marchionne is taking a 'weird' approach to putting the brakes on automaker's demise
Toronto Star Nov 8, 2009
Sergio Marchionne and his executives set the appropriate tone this week at their marathon, six-hour-long unveiling of Chrysler's rescue strategy. The strategy is bizarre, and so was the meeting.
In his impassioned windup to the more than 300 industry analysts, dealers, government officials and auto journalists gathered at Chrysler's headquarters in suburban Detroit, Marchionne quoted Bill Clinton, Machiavelli and Bobby McFerrin.
Weird.
Marchionne, who spent most of his career in Toronto before a short stint with an Italian firm brought him to the attention of a then-crippled Fiat, had allowed earlier in the day that he bought a Fiat in 1968 in Toronto and was not impressed.
"If you had told me then I would be running Fiat, I would have laughed my head off."
Chrysler's salvation, should it come about, is entirely tied to its "Fiat-ization." To the adoption of Fiat styling, engine and drivetrain technology, and supposedly state-of-the-art manufacturing methods.
Decades after Fiat was driven out of a North American market where it had failed dismally, the stigma of "Fix it again, Tony" still falls readily from the lips of auto enthusiasts when the word Fiat is mentioned. Why remind us?
Weird.
Fiat's Canadian boss bragged that Chrysler's upscale Town and Country minivan, assembled in Windsor, is moving through Canadian showrooms like "chickenpox through a kindergarten class." Veteran auto analyst Nick Bunkley, who was live-Twittering the event, tweeted: "I can't make this crap up."
Marchionne has had precious little to say about his plan to restore Chrysler to viability since it exited bankruptcy in June. He did give one interview in which he complained that Chrysler was in much worse shape that he had imagined. A real confidence builder, that. Marchionne was at it again on Wednesday, boosting morale with his observation that Chrysler's in trouble "but it's not terminal"
This desultory tone was consistent with Marchionne's regard for Chrysler since Day One last spring. He insisted then that he would not take the reins at Chrysler, until Washington told him that was not on. He held out for a gratis 35 per cent stake in Chrysler until Barack Obama told him that was too greedy. (Marchionne had to settle for 20 per cent.)
He made war on Chrysler dealers by loading them up with inventory and then shutting them down. He fired the heads of the Dodge and Chrysler brands, posts to which he had just promoted them, when they broke Marchionne's directive not to talk to the auto press at the Frankfurt auto show. Omniscience and pettiness aren't an ideal mix in a turnaround CEO, whose troops already balk at keeping Marchionne's work hours. (The boss gets by on four hours' sleep.)
Despite four months to prepare, Wednesday's crucial tone-setting presentation fell flat. Not only from the gaffes, but the shoot-the-moon goals Marchionne proclaimed, described by one of the analysts at the Detroit event as "boldly delusional."
As one executive after another talked of doubling sales of a brand or boosting market share by unrealistic amounts, there were collective gasps in the audience. What are these guys smoking?
Still, it was a friendly audience. The auto press would love a Chrysler comeback story. There had to be a less petty way for Marchionne to deal with unstated skepticism than to say it is a "worldwide sport of beating people who are down."
The truth about Chrysler is that it's not down, but out. In a glut of global capacity, what the industry needs is for this chronically mismanaged firm to go away. Instead, Washington, Ottawa and Queen's Park have extended a total of about $14 billion in emergency loans to a company that hit the wall in the early 1970s, again a decade later, and survives now only on government life support – the latter an expression of goodwill that Marchionne might someday show some appreciation for.
Fiat has none of its own money on the line in this latest gambit to make Chrysler sustainably viable. It got its 20 per cent equity stake in the firm in exchange for taking on the task of fixing it. Marchionne has vowed not to commit a single euro of Fiat's own money to reviving Chrysler. Fair enough, since Fiat itself is bleeding cash back home in Europe.
In a nutshell, Marchionne proposes to spend $23 billion (U.S.) to develop 21 new bestselling vehicles that will roughly double Chrysler's North American market share in the short space of three or four model years. To make Chrysler profitable in just two or three years – something that earlier Chrysler owner Daimler AG could not do in nine years – and to pay off its $14 billion in government emergency loans by 2014.
Chrysler's sales volume has cratered by 50 per cent over the past two years. Its year-over-year market share has plummeted to 7.9 per cent in October from 11.3 per cent.
Where is the $23 billion (U.S.) going to come from, if not from Fiat? From a miraculous upturn in sales of Chrysler's current, unpopular product line, which will get a slapdash sprucing-up (inexpensive improvements to interiors, exterior trim and so on).
"It's cosmetics," shrugged Rebecca Lindland, of IHS Global Insight, telling the Detroit Free Press she cannot imagine that showroom dust-collectors like the Chrysler Sebring and Dodge Avenger are suddenly going to move like H1N1 through a crowded subway car.
Those 21 new Fiat-based models won't start arriving at Chrysler dealers for at least two years – the time needed to retool Chrysler plants, and for Chrysler hands to learn Fiat's manufacturing methods. That's too late. A resurgent Ford Motor Co. will have replaced its entire lineup by then. Also, its other rivals won't be watching grass grow under their feet.
The real problem is the Fiat-ization of Chrysler. Americans have never taken to Fiat styling. Fiat is the unlikeliest candidate to erase Chrysler's abysmal reputation for poor quality. Fiat itself ranks in the bottom quarter of more than 20 brands in J.D. Power's latest customer satisfaction survey in the company's core European market.
The word crapshoot comes to mind to describe what Marchionne is embarked on, that's how pie-in-the-sky it is. Except in that game, you play with your own money.
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Jobless rate hits 8.6% as
modest gains evaporate
Forecasters expect the rate will breach 10% in 2010
after 43,200 jobs were lost in October, all part time
Nov 7, 2009
October's job numbers are bleak, a deflating reminder that economic recovery is a slow beast, indeed, and that jobs cut in a slowdown take some time to come back, if at all.
After two months of moderate job growth, employment across the country fell by 43,200 jobs last month, all of them part time, Statistics Canada said Friday.
The drop-off pushes Canada's unemployment rate up 0.2 per cent to 8.6 per cent, which many, including the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, predict will continue to climb, reaching around 10 per cent in 2010.
This erases the positive growth in September of about 30,000 jobs and demonstrates that employers are still hesitant to take on new hires or replace fired staff as this epic downturn begins to unwind.
"(This) undoes much of the surprisingly strong reported improvement in September," Erin Weir, an economist with the United Steelworkers, wrote in a note.
Most of the job losses came from Alberta (14,900), British Columbia (12,900) and Ontario (12,000).
Down south, the news was even more grim, with the United States' unemployment rate breaching the double digits to land at 10.2 per cent, the highest since April 1983.
In Canada, most of the month's disappointing declines came from retail, wholesale and natural resources.
The data, contained in Statistics Canada's Labour Force Survey, showed women aged 25 and older and youths between 15 and 24 accounted for all job losses in October.
"October was a reality check for a Canadian labour market that had been seeing a lot of hiring without much to show for it in terms of production," Avery Shenfeld, CIBC World Markets' chief economist, wrote in a research note.
"October's report hinted that the earlier run-up may have, in part, been statistical noise ... Put the last three months together, and the trend shows very small net hiring on average, a result that is much more consistent with the limited growth we've thus far seen in economic output."
The Canadian Auto Workers said October's job losses highlighted the need for more government stimulus and that service-sector job losses are inevitable when core, unionized sectors are hit.
Ken Lewenza, CAW president, said workers who are still employed face a difficult future.
"The challenge now is that workers in these largely non-unionized industries do not have the same transitional supports and services provided to unionized employees, which creates an even heavier burden for them during bad economic times," Lewenza said.
The job losses would have been even worse, but the 43,200 was offset by a gain of 27,500 in the nebulous "self-employed" category, which many economists discount because it could be involuntary and unproductive.
"We are always skeptical about the self-employed category, but most so during times of recession," writes Stewart Hall, an economist with HSBC Securities (Canada).
"It is fair to ask just what the 27.5 thousand newly self-employed are doing with their time and what kind of contribution they are making to GDP at this point in the economic cycle."
Since employment in Canada peaked in October 2008, the economy has shed around 400,000 jobs.
But the latest numbers, Weir writes, show the first full year of employment data since the economic crash took hold.
And the conclusions are not positive.
"A sectoral breakdown implies a disproportionately large loss of relatively good jobs," Weir writes. "More than half of the employment decline, 218,000, was in manufacturing.
"Construction and other goods-producing industries eliminated a further 112,000 jobs.
"The entire service sector shrank by 70,000."
It wasn't all bad news, though, with full-time employment, including self-employment, increasing by 16,500 jobs.
Also on the plus side, construction jobs were up, as were transportation and warehousing.
The manufacturing sector continued to fare poorly.
"The ongoing pressures to Canadian manufacturing remain evident as inventories continue to be drawn down and firms remain hesitant about boosting production," TD Bank economist Grant Bishop wrote in a note.
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Inflatable seatbelts
coming to Ford Explorers
Bryce G. Hoffman / The Detroit News - Nov 6, 2009
Dearborn --For Srini Sundararajan, the new inflatable seat belt system that Ford Motor Co. debuted Thursday represents the culmination of a decade of work and the realization of his dream to make automobile transportation safer.
The 47-year-old biomedical engineer has spent nearly half of his 21-year career at Ford working on the first-ever system, which will debut on the new Ford Explorer next year and promises to provide unprecedented protection for back seat passengers -- particularly for children and the elderly.
"It's exciting. It's thrilling," he said Thursday. "We are finally done!"
Ford's new system incorporates small air bags inside the rear seat belts. These are deployed during a crash, spreading the force of impact over five times more area of the body than conventional seat belts, thereby greatly reducing pressure on the chest and helping to control head and neck motion.
Dr. Stewart Wang, a leading trauma surgeon at the University of Michigan and an expert on automobile crash injuries, said Ford's new seat belt air bag could be a real life saver -- especially for children and the elderly who are most vulnerable and most often sit in the rear passenger seats.
"It's hard to know for sure ahead of time, but this air bag has tremendous benefit by increasing the surface area (of the seat belt), and that allows them to restrain the torso better on a frail body," he said. "I think that the potential benefits are quite substantial."
Ford said the optional safety device, the first ever offered by an automaker, will ultimately be available on all of its cars and trucks worldwide for a "modest" additional cost.
The company unveiled its first prototype of the new safety system at the Detroit auto show in 2001. Since then, Sundararajan has led the team working to take the seat belt air bag from the show stand to the showroom. He says it has been an arduous journey.
The original plan was to put the system in the trunk of the vehicle, but Sundararajan said it rattled. He and his team then moved to other configurations before fixing on a location beneath the rear seats.
That worked, but the system was too expensive.
"We wanted to make it affordable for everybody," Sundararajan said. "That was a real challenge."
Ford wants to make this a mainstream offering.
That is why it is breaking with its recent practice of introducing new cutting-edge technologies in its Lincoln brand and only making them available on Ford products a year or two later.
"This is really about improving family safety, and we really think the Explorer fits that," said Sue Cischke, Ford group vice president in charge of sustainability, environmental and safety engineering.
Analyst Erich Merkle of Autoconomy.com said the seat belt air bag will resonate with parents, adding that it builds on other safety innovations the automaker has introduced in recent years that have helped the Dearborn automaker claim more five-star safety ratings from the federal government than any other manufacturer.
"Safety certainly gives you a competitive advantage," he said. "It's one more thing Ford is doing right."
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Stay Home if You Have Swine Flu, Unless You Work at Wal-Mart
During the summer, when swine flu was not yet a widespread reality in the United States, giant retailer Wal-Mart made the news for being in talks with the government about possibly distributing the swine flu vaccine through its extensive network of stores.
But now the swine flu has Wal-Mart under scrutiny for a very different reason: Accusations that the retailer is leaving employees infected with swine flu little choice but to come to work, due to its punitive sick leave policies.
Citing a report by the National Labor Committee, the Institute for Southern Studies’ argues on its blog Facing South that Wal-Mart is essentially contributing to the spread of swine flu by making it financially prohibitive for employees to miss work when they fall ill.
Employees of the Arkansas-based retail giant — even its food handlers — feel they have no choice but to work when they’re sick. That’s because the company gives workers demerits and deducts pay for staying home when they’re sick or caring for sick children.
It gets worse:
The situation is particularly difficult for Wal-Mart workers who are single parents. The NLC reports on an instance in which an employee got a call from her four-year-old’s preschool telling her to pick up the child, who had a fever of 103 degrees F. Despite the fact that the employee had already worked for four hours that day, she got a demerit point for leaving and lost her wages for the rest of the day.
The report says: “Parents have no choice but to load their children up with Motrin and Dimetap to mask their symptoms so they can go to school.”
Which, of course, leads to a vicious circle of other children at school becoming sick, and spreading it in their families. Not to mention the misery of a sick child facing a full day of school.
What’s particularly interesting is that Wal-Mart includes on its Website some information about swine flu, including frequently asked questions. Here’s the answer to “What should I do if I get sick?”
Stay away from others as much as possible to keep from making others sick. Staying at home means that you should not leave your home except to seek medical care. This means avoiding normal activities, including work, school, travel, shopping, social events and public gatherings.
Unless you work at Wal-Mart. Then, you’d better make it in for your shift if you don’t want your pay docked or possibly lose your job. From Facing South:
Wal-Mart has a demerit system that punishes workers who cannot come to work due to illness. Employees who miss a day due to sickness receive a one-point demerit and lose eight hours of wages.
Employees with more than three absences a six-month period face discipline, and a fifth absence — even for a sick day — will result in what the company calls “active coaching” by management.
A sixth absence leads to what Wal-Mart calls “Decision Day,” when a worker can be either terminated or put on a year-long trial period during which time he or she can be fired for any infraction and cannot be promoted.
The swine flu sometimes can cause people to miss an entire week or more of work. At Wal-Mart, that could get you fired.
Somehow, I don’t think that’s what the Center for Disease Control was hoping for this flu season, as it tries to contain a life-threatening virus. Wal-Mart’s labor policies have long been contentious, but this one could actually create a public safety issue. If these allegations are true, it may be time for public health officials to step in somehow, perhaps with fines for the retailer for keeping flu-stricken employees on the job. And let’s not just pick on Wal-Mart; it’s very possible that other low-wage retailers and business are doing the same thing. Maybe the best option in the absence of any government action is for customers to walk away. Is a bargain really worth it if employees are forced to work while sick with the flu — and potentially help to spread an unusually dangerous virus?
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Ford Workers Should Be Applauded, Not Ridiculed
by Norm Kujawa | Mon, 11/04/2009
Editor’s note: Ford workers rejected a proposed concessions package last week that included a six-year wage freeze for new hires (who make half of current workers’ pay), combining of skilled trades, and giving up the right to strike for contract improvements. Ford had made some weak assurances of continued work and offered a $1,000 bonus.
The United Auto Workers announced the vote as 70 percent 'no' among production workers and 75 percent 'no' in skilled trades. UAW President Ron Gettelfinger’s home local in Louisville, Kentucky, voted no by 84 percent. The Dearborn Truck unit, whose president broke with International officials to urge a ‘no’ vote, rejected by 92.5 percent.
The pre-vote period was characterized by rank-and-filers producing leaflets that they distributed in the plants, and at least one raucous meeting in which UAW VP Bob King was shouted down.
UAW officials said they would not bring the concessions package back for a re-vote but would wait until the contract expires in fall 2011 to negotiate again.
To read how the Detroit newspapers tell it, you would think that union members dealt a death blow to Ford Motor Company when UAW-Ford workers voted overwhelmingly against another round of concessions to their 2007 contract. Rather than place blame for a corporate failure that may not occur, news media should applaud union members for doing something they have not done in over 30 years – vote against the wishes of their top union leaders.
While published reports have said that Ford will have a large, business-threatening debt load in 2011, workers in 2009, eight months after giving concessions at their leadership’s request, do not see the urgency to give more to Ford, especially since Ford reported financial gains in the second quarter, and—right after the vote—announced a $1 billion profit for the third quarter.
Concessions were double-edged idea
The drive to ask the membership for concessions was likely a double-edged idea from Ford management and UAW leaders, long known for their labor-management harmony. Management, seeking to reduce the predicted debt load and reach competitive equality with General Motors and Chrysler, whose workers were forced to give concessions due to the GM and Chrysler bankruptcy filings, thought workers would be understanding of their needs and voluntarily give up more from their contract, even while seeing increased sales and profits since voting to help the company with previous concessions.
The UAW sought to maintain pattern bargaining, a staple of the union since Walter Reuther’s days as president. Pattern bargaining, done by the UAW for over 60 years, was always a tool to bring the workers in the weakest bargaining position to equality with workers in the strongest bargaining position. This is the first time that pattern bargaining has been attempted to bring the strongest company down to achieve the pattern with the poorer companies.
With the GM and Chrysler concessions last May, Ford workers stood ahead of their brethren in many areas, including entry worker pay, job classifications, and work rules. Instead of waiting out the contract, the UAW chose to bring the Ford workers in line with GM and Chrysler workers now, at a time when Ford has been selling the government, the media, the public, and Wall Street on the idea that their business plan, management team, and labor relations are the best of the three U.S. auto companies.
No clear explanation
Ford workers said throughout the process that they had given back enough and did not see the necessity in giving the company more from their contract while increased sales and profits were being announced. They certainly do not feel that they have to endure the same pain that GM and Chrysler workers were forced to endure by the U.S. government. Yet the International UAW kept insisting that the concessions were necessary, without clearly explaining the financial situation that Ford may find themselves in in two years.
Attempts were made by Ford management to tell workers how bad the business situation might be in two years. Executives were sent to plants around the country to give slide show presentations and give gloom-and-doom speeches. After the tentative agreement was reached, UAW-Ford negotiators traversed the same path across the country to explain the concessionary agreement to a confused membership. The necessity to give concessions to a company announcing profits certainly confused many union members, and is something that UAW members have not seen before.
Several employees, not wanting to risk the future of their plant, voted for the concessions. Several plants were promised product if the agreement passed, while others would be considered for product. Giving up the right to strike and freezing wages for new hires for six years, not just the remainder of the current contract, was not a concern to those that voted for the agreement.
Workers change course
Unconvinced of Ford’s impending 2011 failure and tired of being asked to foot the bill for management’s business failures, UAW members at Ford chose not to stand by but to be an active participant in the labor relations process. Management, with the UAW’s buy-in, was able to present a good business case for concessions just a few months previously. They have not done so in this instance.
In the past, workers went for the money. This time, despite a $1000 bonus offered if the agreement passed, workers declined the money and instead stood up for what they believed was right. The years of being told they had to sacrifice again and again had finally taken a toll.
Some reporters and bloggers have said that UAW members cannot see the big picture, and undoubtedly Ford management and UAW leadership feel the same way, but asking for concessions while telling the world of your profitability simply isn’t smart.
Shop floor a forgotten place
While UAW members get ridiculed for making too much money, having too good a benefit package, and apparently not understanding big business, the know-it-all commentators and those negotiating concession packages have either forgotten, or know nothing about, the shop floor and working conditions auto workers perform under.
Today’s auto factories are nothing like the factories of decades ago, but the culture and environment inside the auto factories is still highly stressful. The much-talked-about relationship between Ford management and the UAW has not rolled down to the shop floor. In the real Ford plant world, employees have to deal with supervisors that care more about the numbers of product being produced than how it is being done, and management that seemingly cares more about climbing the next rung on the corporate ladder than managing effectively.
These realities, coupled with a selection process that discourages the best candidates from getting involved in union leadership, has led to a chaotic environment that places workers in a survival mode where every day brings new challenges, new drama, non-stop politics, and few escapes from the pressure that workers constantly find themselves under. Fixing the way business is conducted inside plant locations would go a long way toward fixing the mindset of the workforce where harmonious labor relations, spoken so highly of at the corporate level, are just a fantasy.
Workers have been beaten down by the media, the general public, and their own union and company leadership for so long, it should not have been a surprise to anyone that the concessions agreement was voted down. Those that were surprised simply are out of touch with the reality of worklife inside an auto plant. Perhaps this is the beginning of a new workers revolution, one that will gain the respect of those that negotiate on their behalf and redefine the direction of the UAW.
[Norm Kujawa was editor of the UAW Local 3000 Guide for 17 years. Local 3000 represents workers at AutoAlliance, the Mazda-Ford joint venture in Flat Rock, Michigan.]
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Onward from assembly
Globe and Mail Published on Thursday, Nov. 05, 2009
The Canadian Auto Workers have acted effectively and prudently in obtaining from Ford Motor Co., by negotiation, a favourable ratio of vehicle production in Canada to sales in Canada. But in the longer term, the interests of Canada lie in an automotive industry that is more specialized, more advanced and more environmentally sustainable.
Starting in 1965, the Canada-United States Automotive Products Agreement, popularly known as the Auto Pact, stipulated for a ratio of not less than 133 per cent between Canadian vehicle production by U.S.-owned manufacturers and sales of such vehicles in Canada. The Auto Pact helped lead to the Canada-U.S. free trade agreement and thence on to NAFTA - broader treaties that eventually superseded the Auto Pact.
The CAW made a neo-Auto Pact with Ford last week, in a year when the productions-to-sales ratio may fall below 100 per cent. In return, the union made concessions on wages, benefits and other matters, and acquiesced in the closing of an assembly plant at St. Thomas, Ont. It was more sensible than the United Auto Workers in the U.S., who self-defeatingly voted this week against concessions, in effect benefiting Mexican auto workers.
This low production-to-sales level is probably an extreme, at a short-term nadir in North American demand for cars. But the ratio is unlikely to return to its height of 1995, when it rose to 207 per cent. One major reason is an inevitable shift of production to the lower-wage economy of Mexico, as well as to the southern United States.
Between the signing of the Auto Pact in 1965 and the 1995 peak, the overall trend of this ratio was upward, but there were ups and downs, often just as steep as the recent decline. These fluctuations mostly reflected the larger business cycle.
In particular, after the recession of the early 1990s, the Canadian auto-parts industry remade itself and became much more competitive. Canada should concentrate on its continuing strength in making parts. Assembling cars in St. Thomas or elsewhere is not essential to the Canadian economy. The Canadian industry should also take advantage of its role in Ford's plans for redesigned and new models in Oakville, Ont., to develop excellence in design.
It is even more important for the Canadian auto industry to lead in the coming green economy. Canada is in danger of being left behind; that will be all the more damaging if there is a green automobile renaissance in the United States.
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St. Thomas plant closure
may doom 10,000 jobs
Nov 4, 2009 Canadian Press
The closure of Ford's assembly plant in St. Thomas, Ont., will not only affect the 1,400 workers currently employed at the facility, but also thousands more in the auto parts and transport industries.
Auto industry analyst Bill Pochiluk says approximately 2,500 jobs will be lost among auto parts suppliers in both Canada and the United States as a result of the closing.
And Canadian Auto Workers economist Jim Stanford says as many as 10,000 jobs in total could be lost due to the spinoff effects on the community of St. Thomas and surrounding areas.
The plant's closure will also cost the St. Thomas area more than $3 million in tax revenue.
The St. Thomas region of southwestern Ontario has been hit hard by the distress in the Canadian manufacturing sector and the auto industry in particular.
Stanford says it's probably the second-hardest hit community in Canada after Windsor, Ont.
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FORD CANADA POSTS FIFTH CONSECUTIVE YEAR-OVER-YEAR SALES INCREASE; SALES UP 20%
Led by double-digit increases of Ford Fusion
and Taurus October Highlights:
-
Overall vehicles sales were up 20% compared to last October
-
Car sales increased 8% compared to same period last year
-
Ford Taurus sales rose 57%
-
Ford Fusion sales were up 65%
-
Ford Mustang sales increased 8%
-
Ford Flex sales rose 38%, best October on record
-
Ford Edge sales were up 38%, best October on record
-
Ford Escape sales increased 19%, best October on record
-
Ford F-Series sales were up 59%
-
Ford Explorer sales increased 21%
-
Ford Expedition sales were up 46%
-
Lincoln MKX sales rose 90%
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Overall Lincoln sales jump 22%
OAKVILLE, Ontario, November 3, 2009 – Ford Motor Company of Canada, Limited saw sales increase 20.1 per cent compared to the same period last year marking the company's fifth consecutive month of year-over-year sales gains. Strong sales were led by the award-winning Ford Taurus, which was recently named "Best New Family Car" in the over $30,000 category by the Automobile Journalists Association of Canada (AJAC).
Also, Ford Fusion and Ford Taurus delivered strong performances with sales increases of 64.5 per cent and 57.1 per cent respectively.
October also marked the twelfth consecutive month of market share growth, with cars and trucks from both Ford and Lincoln showing sales increases.
"We are making steady progress and remain fully focused on our plan to build a strong and sustainable Ford," said David Mondragon, president and CEO, Ford of Canada. "Consumers are seeing the signs of recovery and are gaining confidence in the quality, fuel efficiency, safety and smart technology incorporated in our new product lineup. In fact, 90 per cent of our sales come from our new models."
In addition to the 8.4 per cent increase in car sales, total truck sales were up 23.6 per cent compared to last October. The results were driven by products like the Ford Taurus, Fusion, Escape and F-Series along with the Canadian-built Ford Flex, Ford Edge and Lincoln MKX.
Due to its overwhelming success, Ford is extending its 'Recycle Your Ride' program through until January 4, 2010. With this program, consumers turning in 15-year-old (or older) vehicles for recycling will get up to $3,000 toward the purchase of a new vehicle. Ford's scrappage program builds on the Canadian government's 'Retire Your Ride' initiative which offers $300 and other benefits to eligible participants. So far, Ford of Canada has been able to scrap 1,419 clunkers under the program -- more than any other automaker.
"The Recycle Your Ride program is helping Canadians afford new vehicle ownership and is great for the environment because these older, high-polluting vehicles are taken off the road," said Mondragon. "The key to the success of Ford's program is reaching out to dealers and consumers directly so that getting a refund from the program is fast and easy."
Ford Motor Company of Canada, Limited
October 2009 Vehicle Sales
|
2009 |
2008 |
% Change |
Total Vehicles |
|
|
|
October |
18,201 |
15,160 |
20.1 |
January - October |
191,377 |
180,626 |
6.0 |
|
|
|
|
Total Cars |
|
|
|
October |
3,846 |
3,548 |
8.4 |
January - October |
44,039 |
44,545 |
-1.1 |
|
|
|
|
Total Trucks |
|
|
|
October |
14,355 |
11,612 |
23.6 |
January – October |
147,338 |
136,081 |
8.3
|
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U.S. slump batters auto
making in Canada
Greg Keenan
Globe and Mail Tuesday, Nov. 03, 2009
For the first time since 1964, auto makers are on pace to produce fewer vehicles in Canada than they sell here – a development that has alarmed the Canadian Auto Workers union and underscores how badly the severe slump in the U.S. market has hammered Canada's largest manufacturing industry.
As a result, tucked into the new labour contract between the CAW and Ford Motor Co. of Canada Ltd. lies a mini auto pact, a Ford-specific clause that replicates a key feature of the 1965 agreement between Canada and the United States that guided Canadian automotive policy for more than three decades until the World Trade Organization shot it down in 1999.
In return for agreeing to cuts in benefits as well as other concessions, the CAW wrung a commitment from Ford that it will manufacture more vehicles in Canada than it sells here.
That commitment comes amid a 38-per-cent fall in production by auto makers in Canada for the first nine months of 2009, compared with last year.
The production decline is yet another demonstration of the long arm of the Great Recession and has been accompanied by massive layoffs that have rippled through parts suppliers and cascaded throughout Ontario, Canada's only auto-producing province.
“I'm incredibly worried about it,” CAW president Ken Lewenza said on Monday.
When the union urged the federal government in 1999 to fight the WTO ruling that ended the auto pact, the Liberal government of the time said there was no reason to worry because Ford, Chrysler Canada Ltd., and General Motors of Canada Ltd. were exceeding requirements that they make one vehicle in Canada for every one sold here, Mr. Lewenza recalled.
“We said: ‘We're not worried about today, we're worried about long term.' Sooner or later, if you don't have the investment, the reality is that you don't have the product and then you don't have the commitment of the Auto Pact.”
As part of the Ford deal, he said, the CAW tried but failed to get the company to agree to a penalty if it didn't meet the production-to-sales commitment.
Such an enforcement mechanism would also have replicated another clause in the auto pact, which the federal government used for several decades to lever investment out of the Detroit Three.
The plunge in production to less than the level of sales in Canada this year is likely temporary because of the collapse of the U.S. market, the destination for about 85 per cent of the vehicles manufactured here, noted industry analyst Dennis DesRosiers, president of DesRosiers Automotive Consultants Inc. But the long-term decline is a worry, he said.
“What should be of concern is the fact that we have been deteriorating in this variable for a long time,” Mr. DesRosiers said.
The production-to-sales ratio, which compares the number of vehicles built to the number sold in Canada, peaked in 1995 at 207 per cent, meaning auto makers assembled more than two vehicles in Canada for every one that was sold. The ratio fell last year to 124 per cent although it has averaged 151 per cent this decade, compared with 179 per cent in the 1990s.
Mr. DesRosiers forecast that it will slide to 140 per cent between 2010 and 2019, while production in Mexico soars, pushing that country's ratio to 230 per cent over the same period.
As of the end of September, auto makers produced 1.013 million vehicles in Canada and sold 1.125 million.
While the CAW gained some protection from Ford with the agreement members approved on the weekend, another element of the same deal will reduce production further.
Ford will close its St. Thomas Assembly Plant near London, Ont., in 2011, cutting its vehicle manufacturing operations to a single plant.
Mexico, on the other hand, is likely benefit from another development in the Ford world – the rejection by the United Auto Workers of a contract that matched concessions that union gave Chrysler and GM earlier this year.
Higher costs at U.S. plants will drive more vehicle production to lower-cost Mexico, analysts said.
Mr. DesRosiers pointed out, however, that there is some good news for Canada in another measure of vehicle output.
Canada's share of North American vehicle production has held its own at about 17 per cent, which is the second-highest figure on record. U.S. production has fallen more than Canadian production, driven in part by shutdowns of more than a month at almost all Chrysler and GM plants while they were in Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection.
“So it's North America that's screwed up and within a screwed-up market, we're holding our share. … We're not growing, but we're not declining yet.”
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Gettelfinger says failed Ford pact worth modest price
David Barkholz
Automotive News | November 2, 2009 - 4:29 pm EST
DETROIT -- UAW President Ron Gettelfinger (pictured) said today that the Ford-UAW contract modifications rejected overwhelmingly by Ford's 41,000 hourly U.S. workers would have saved the automaker just $30 million.
In a phone interview today, Gettelfinger said he pushed the modest concessions to lock in future product commitments at Ford plants and to bring the Ford agreement with the UAW into pattern with union agreements with General Motors Co. and Chrysler Group.
Gettelfinger said a little-publicized provision of the modifications would have allowed the UAW to call a strike at Ford if the company failed to meet its product commitments. The UAW had no such provision to strike over product commitments in its GM and Chrysler contracts, he said.
A key reason that rank-and-file voters opposed the new concessions was wording that required binding arbitration over any bargaining impasses in the 2011 contract talks.
Gettelfinger said the UAW agreed to binding arbitration to bring the Ford contract into pattern with no-strike clauses negotiated this year with GM and Chrysler.
“In good times, you establish a pattern, and in bad times, you stay with the pattern,” Gettelfinger said.
He said he saw no long-term damage resulting from the contract rejection either to Ford or the UAW.
The UAW announced today that 70 percent of voting Ford production workers rejected the contract, while skilled trades workers turned it down by 75 percent.
Gettelfinger said that after paying each of the 41,000 hourly workers a $1,000 bonus called for in the modifications, or $41 million, the contract would have saved Ford just $30 million.
Ford spokeswoman Marcey Evans declined to comment, except to note that the rejected modifications were more about operating improvements than saving Ford money. In addition to binding arbitration, the modifications called for combining some skilled trades and a freeze on wages for entry-level workers.
Gettelfinger said the Ford product commitments, which meant job security for union workers, were airtight and approved by Ford's board of directors.
If Ford had failed to live up to those commitments, the union had an immediate right to strike over that issue, Gettelfinger said.
The contract language also had a caveat that product commitments were subject to market demands, he acknowledged.
But “market demand” is often debatable, providing the union with the ability to strike in a close call. “It had real teeth,” Gettelfinger said.
Gettelfinger credited Ford in the negotiations with sticking to a pledge not to ask for additional concessions on retiree health care.
On Jan. 1, Ford must make a $1.9 billion payment into a UAW-administered voluntary employees' beneficiary association, with at least $1.3 billion of the amount in cash and the rest in Ford stock. In contrast, GM negotiated a much bigger reduction in the amount it must pay in cash Jan. 1 -- to $585 million.
All told, Ford must pay $6.5 billion of a $13.2 billion obligation to the VEBA in cash, while GM's cash payment is just $2.5 billion for an obligation that was $20 billion before new concessions were negotiated just before the automaker's bankruptcy filing June 1.
Said Gettelfinger: “Ford kept its word.”
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UAW rejects new concessions
to Ford, no new talks
* UAW membership rejects concessionary deal with Ford
* Says Ford's Q3 results reflect workers' past concessions
* Says will not return to bargaining table
DETROIT, Nov 2 (Reuters) - The United Auto Workers union overwhelmingly rejected a proposed cost-cutting deal with Ford Motor Co on Monday, delivering a setback for the automaker as it seeks to bring its labor costs in line with U.S. rivals.
The UAW said that 70 percent of production workers and 75 percent of skilled trades workers voted to reject a proposed agreement the union leadership and Ford negotiated in October to change the 2007 contract.
The deal would have brought the automaker's labor costs in line with General Motors Co [GM.UL] and Chrysler Group LLC, both of which won additional concessions as part of their government-financed bankruptcies.
UAW President Ron Gettelfinger said in a statement the union's past concessions have positioned Ford to be a strong competitor in a tough market and its surprise quarterly net profit announced early on Monday provided further evidence of the contributions the workers have made.
"While we will not be returning to the bargaining table, our ... membership will continue to work with Ford on a daily basis in an effort to keep new products coming into our plants," Gettelfinger said.
The UAW represents about 41,000 U.S. factory workers at Ford.
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STATEMENT: UAW-FORD TENTATIVE AGREEMENT RATIFICATION RESULT
Note: The following statement is attributable to Joe Hinrichs, group vice president, Global Manufacturing and Labor Affairs, Ford Motor Company.
Dearborn, Mich., Nov. 2 – We appreciate the UAW leadership for working with us to reach a tentative agreement on further modifications to our national labor agreement. Ford is disappointed that the additional changes were not ratified.
In March, the UAW-Ford membership ratified changes to the 2007 UAW-Ford national labor agreement and the Voluntary Employee Beneficiary Association health care trust that went most of the way in moving Ford to competitive parity with foreign-owned automakers. The additional modifications we sought recently were designed to honor pattern bargaining and provide Ford with similar additional efficiencies as those ratified this year for our domestic competitors.
All of us at Ford are absolutely committed to continuing to make progress on our transformation plan, and we will take the necessary steps to be competitive with the best in the business.
Moving forward, we will work with the UAW to discuss the next steps to ensure Ford remains competitive so we can continue to make product commitments and invest in our manufacturing facilities here in the United States.
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Ford rebounds to $1-billion profit
Tom Krisher and Dee-Ann Durbin
Dearborn, Mich. — The Associated Press Published on Monday, Nov. 02, 2009 7:23AM EST Last updated on Monday, Nov. 02, 2009 7:52AM EST
Ford Motor Co. (F-N7.00-0.30-4.11%) earned $1-billion (U.S.) in the third quarter, fuelled by U.S. market share gains, cost cuts and the government's Cash for Clunkers rebates.
The Dearborn, Mich.-based auto maker on Monday reported net income of $997-million, or 29 cents per share. Ford says it now expects to be “solidly profitable” in 2011. Previously the auto maker said it would be break-even or better.
Shares of Ford, the only Detroit auto maker to dodge government aid and bankruptcy protection, rose 50 cents, or 7.1 per cent, to $7.50 in pre-market trading.
The latest results signal that Ford's turnaround is on more solid ground. The company lost more than $14.6-billion in 2008 and hasn't posted a full-year profit since 2005. While it made a profit in the second quarter, that was mainly due to debt reductions that cut its interest payments.
Its North American car and truck division – a key business – posted a pretax profit of $357-million, its first quarter in the black since early 2005. Ford cited higher pricing, lower material costs and increased market share for the improvement.
The earnings came despite an $800-million revenue drop. But Ford said it cut costs by $1-billion during the quarter.
Ford still faces obstacles in its turnaround. Last week, workers overwhelmingly rejected an agreement with the United Auto Workers that would have brought Ford's labour costs in line with rivals General Motors Corp. and Chrysler LLC. Workers objected to clauses limiting their right to strike and freezing entry-level wages, and felt the company was healthy enough and didn't need further concessions.
Ford also has $26.9-billion in debt, up $800-million from the second quarter.
Ford didn't quantify the impact of Cash for Clunkers, which offered buyers payments to trade in their vehicles. The program helped Ford cut costly incentives and raise production. It also won buyers; the Ford Focus and Ford Escape were among the top five sellers in the program. Ford sales were up 17 per cent in August thanks to the program.
Ford also has benefited from consumer goodwill after it declined government bailout money and didn't go into bankruptcy over the summer as GM and Chrysler did. Ford grabbed sales from its rivals, posting the largest increase in market share of any auto maker in September. Ford expects an overall gain in U.S. market share in 2009, a feat it hasn't accomplished since 1995.
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Ford concessions accepted in vote
'No one should mistake workers' approval as
satisfaction' with new union deal: CAW leader
Tony Van Alphen Business Reporter
Nov 2, 2009
Ford workers have voted overwhelmingly to accept concessions after their union warned them the company would soon start pulling more production out of Canada without cuts in labour costs.
About 83 per cent of production, skilled and office workers approved changes to their contracts Sunday that will freeze wages and increase benefit costs for the next three years at the sputtering automaker.
Ratification protects key production in Oakville and Windsor but other terms of the deal will close Ford's St. Thomas assembly plant in less than two years. That will eliminate about 1,500 Canadian Auto Workers jobs, plus employment for thousands of others who supply parts and services in the region.
It will lower Canada's share of Ford's North American production to 10 per cent from 13 per cent.
In bargaining, the union had vowed to maintain the 13-per-cent level. Instead, CAW, representing about 7,000 workers, negotiated a "closeout" agreement for the St. Thomas plant that will provide significant pension incentives and severance packages for those choosing to leave the company.
"No one should mistake workers' approval as satisfaction with the new agreement," CAW president Ken Lewenza said in a statement. "Members had faith in the union to negotiate the best agreement possible and protect their interests over the long term, but the problems faced by industry cannot be resolved at the bargaining table."
He noted governments must realize Canada's industrial base is quickly eroding along with the middle class.
CAW promoted a policy of no concessions in contracts for several years but recession and a major auto-industry downturn seriously weakened that hard-line stance.
In a brochure for weekend membership meetings, CAW said Ford "threatened" to start transferring plans for new engines at its Windsor operations and models for the Oakville assembly complex, elsewhere, soon.
"Make no mistake: Ford's top executives were ready to start pulling out of Canada if we did not reach this agreement," three senior union leaders state in the brochure. "They threatened us explicitly to move the new Coyote engine and the future replacement for the Edge/MKX right out of Canada. Moreover, they wouldn't wait until 2011 to start the process." Detroit-based Ford said last month its Canadian plants had the highest labour costs of any place where it operates and, if that continued, it would affect future investment here.
The previous contract, which expires in 2011, had left Ford workers at a competitive disadvantage after their counterparts at General Motors of Canada Ltd. and Chrysler Canada accepted concessions earlier this year so those teetering automakers could qualify for billions of dollars in government aid.
Despite an upswing in its financial and market fortunes, Ford still has a higher debt burden than GM or Chrysler and will close more plants with unused capacity continentwide, the union said. "We must position ourselves to hang on to every job we possibly can in Canada," said the message in the CAW brochure.
Ford workers in the U.S. have rejected contract concessions in the past week, which means the money-losing company will still struggle against its rivals in the U.S.
The deal here will freeze wages and a cost-of-living allowance until September 2012. It eliminates a week of holidays for workers at the three production locations and a parts depot in Brampton.
Workers earning about $34 an hour and retirees will lose or pay more for some benefits. Pensions for workers and retirees will remain intact. New workers will start at 70 per cent of the current top rate with gradual increases to 100 per cent after five years; they must contribute $1 an hour to help fund a pension plan and will get lesser benefits during layoffs.
The closeout at St. Thomas will offer retirement incentives of up to $90,000 for eligible workers, plus vouchers for new vehicles worth $35,000, or $25,000 in lieu of autos.
Workers with eight or more years service who lose jobs will receive $100,000, a $30,000 vehicle voucher, or $25,000 in lieu of an auto, and six months of health coverage. Those with at least five years would get $75,000, the temporary health care coverage and vehicle voucher.
Ford will offer special incentives for workers to retire or leave its Oakville and Brampton operations in 2011 to create job openings so some St. Thomas staff can relocate.
CAW-Ford Bargaining Report Brochure Nov 2009
CLICK HERE
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CAW Members at Ford
Approve New Agreement
November 1, 2009
(Toronto) Thousands of CAW members working at Ford facilities in Oakville, Windsor, St. Thomas and Bramalea have voted in favour of a new agreement, ratifying the deal by 83 per cent during a series of meetings held over the past two days. The deal was reached on October 30 between the two sides.
“No one should mistake workers’ approval as satisfaction with the new agreement,” said CAW President Ken Lewenza. “Members had faith in the union to negotiate the best agreement possible and protect their interests over the long term, but the problems faced by industry cannot be resolved at the bargaining table.”
We need government and policy makers to wake up to the fact that the country’s industrial base is rapidly eroding and with it, the entire middle class.”
The deal is the second cost-cutting agreement reached between the CAW and Ford in 18 months and includes cuts to benefits, a reduction in vacation, break times and co-pays on health care, all of which were pattern items from the agreements with Chrysler and General Motors.
During the negotiations Ford also announced it would be closing the St. Thomas assembly plant in 2011, eliminating 1,400 jobs in the already hard-hit community. Workers at the plant manufacture the Ford Crown Victoria, Mercury Grand Marquis and Lincoln Town Car.
“This has been an extremely stressful and difficult year for Ford workers, just as it has been for hundreds of thousands of workers right across the country,” said Mike Vince, chairperson of the CAW-Ford Master Bargaining Committee and president of CAW Local 200. “Our members have been dealing with terrible insecurity as a result of financial crisis and recession and this new agreement will give a greater deal of job security right until 2012.”
The new agreement expires on September 17, 2012 and covers approximately 7,000 Ford workers.
The results by location are as follows:
CAW Local 1520, St. Thomas
Production: 80% in favour
Skilled Trades: 81% in favour
Combined total: 80% in favour
CAW Local 200, Windsor
Production: 81% in favour
Skilled Trades: 75% in favour
Combined total: 80% in favour
CAW Local 707, Oakville
Production: 90% in favour
Skilled Trades: 91% in favour
Combined total: 90% in favour
CAW Local 584, Bramalea
Total: 85% in favour
CAW Local 240
Office: 100% in favour
CAW Local 1324
Office: 83% in favour
Combined Totals:
Total Production: 84% in favour
Total Skilled Trades: 81% in favour
Total Office: 94% in favour
Overall total: 83% in favour
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Ford's mantra of difference was taken to heart by its UAW workers
Nov 1, 2009
BY TOM WALSH
FREE PRESS BUSINESS COLUMNIST
UAW workers to Ford Motor Co. and Chief Executive Alan Mulally: “We think we’re OK where we are.”
That’s the clear message in a decisive rejection by Ford hourly workers of the Dearborn automaker’s latest plea for concessions on pay and work rules to match what Chrysler and General Motors gained in bankruptcy.
And it’s proof that words can come back to haunt you.
Remember Mulally’s statement of Nov. 18, 2008, testifying before Congress?
When asked whether he would work for $1 a year during the auto industry crisis, Mulally replied, “I think I’m OK where I am.” (He made $4.9 million last year in salary bonus and benefits, and was awarded stock options valued at $8.7 million.)
You can bet the rank-and-file workers remember.
They also remember Ford management’s repeated use of the word “different” over the past year, intended to set Ford apart from crosstown rivals GM and Chrysler.
If Ford is so happy being different and better off than GM and Chrysler, the workers are asking, what’s wrong with us being better off, too?
Ford was different, its executives said, because it didn't run out of cash like GM and Chrysler.
Different because it didn't take taxpayer money to survive like GM and Chrysler.
Different, different, different. Pounding the drumbeat of difference clearly has helped Ford's public image, its car and truck sales and its stock price.
But when it comes to the wages, benefits and work rules of its UAW workforce, Ford doesn't want to be different. It wants the same labor cost savings that GM and Chrysler achieved in Chapter 11 bankruptcy.
It's easy to understand, in that context, the defiance so many Ford UAW workers have shown in recent days toward coughing up another round of contract givebacks.
They're OK with being different.
That doesn't mean, however, that Ford is wrong to ask for more concessions.
Indeed, Ford must keep insisting on cost parity with GM, Chrysler, Toyota, Honda and every other major competitor if the company is to survive and prosper.
Ford's management must continue to push the envelope on costs. Otherwise, by repeating the old cycle of avoiding confrontation by appeasing its labor union, Ford risks winding up again with the bloated legacy costs and debt loads that have made the Detroit automakers so uncompetitive with foreign rivals for the last 25 years.
Alan Mulally, Ford's president and chief executive officer, along with Executive Chairman Bill Ford Jr. and the rest of the Dearborn hierarchy, have stated bluntly that Ford Motor cannot allow itself to be disadvantaged by the bankruptcies of GM and Chrysler.
And, in fact, they convinced UAW President Ron Gettelfinger and UAW Ford Vice President Bob King that the history of pattern bargaining among the Detroit Three should be kept intact. Ford should get the no-strike clause, more flexible work rules and a freeze on entry-level worker pay that GM and Chrysler had been granted.
To persuade the concessions-weary UAW workers in the Ford plants to go along, a number of promises were made about where production of future models would be located. And the jobs that go along with those decisions, of course. Workers also were offered $1,000 bonuses.
But even with those sweeteners, the UAW rank and file has turned its thumbs down.
So what now?
Wall Street lifts an eyebrow of worry about Ford's future? Gettelfinger and King, the would-be successor to Gettelfinger as UAW president, have a little egg on their faces because they couldn't deliver a ratification vote?
So what?
Both sides need to regroup, jawbone some more and do whatever it takes to ensure that Ford stays competitive and keeps its momentum.
There's no need for an immediate revote.
Nor would it be wise for Ford management to take a high-profile, obviously punitive action like relocating production of some promising new model from Michigan to Mexico.
Still, it must be steadfast about cost control. This is the Detroit auto industry's last chance to get it right. No time for weak knees.
But it should remember to choose its words carefully.
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Download the flyer in favor of contract changes (PDF)
Download the flyer in opposition to contract changes (PDF)
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October 31. 2009
Ford deal with UAW
goes down to defeat
Bryce G. Hoffman and Louis Aguilar / The Detroit News
In a fatal blow to an accord with Ford Motor Co., United Auto Workers members at three of the automaker's largest locals voted Friday against ratification of the proposed contract changes.
At the Dearborn Truck Plant, 93 percent of the votes were cast against the agreement; 53 percent of workers casting their ballots at the Romeo Engine Plant voted against the deal. And at UAW Local 862 in Louisville, which represents workers at both the Louisville Assembly Plant and Kentucky Truck Plant, 84 percent voted no.
Though UAW voting will not be completed nationwide until Sunday, enough plants now have rejected the deal to make it virtually impossible for the agreement to win enough votes for approval.
"I think it's over," said Gary Walkowicz, one of union dissidents who has led the opposition to ratification. "People are saying 'No more.' We've had enough concessions already. We've given up enough already."
While the UAW pact is headed for defeat, the Canadian Auto Workers announced a tentative agreement Friday with Ford that matches concessions union members already gave to General Motors Co. and Chrysler Group LLC.
UAW members at Ford have been angered by language that limits the union's right to strike over pay and benefit increases in the next round of national contract talks in 2011.
Workers at GM and Chrysler already approved a much broader "no strike" clause as part of agreements negotiated during those companies' government-mandated bankruptcy reorganizations earlier this year.
Union dissidents say Ford already is doing better than GM and Chrysler and does not warrant the same treatment.
But UAW leaders say giving Ford at least a measure of parity with its cross-town rivals is essential to ensuring the continuation of pattern bargaining.
CAW President Ken Lewenza made a similar pitch to his members Friday.
"Pattern bargaining has done wonders for our members, and it stays in place," he said of the new deal with Ford. "Without a pattern, Ford would be trying to extract more from our members."
Deal means more work
The tentative agreement between Ford and the CAW exactly matches the terms the union negotiated with GM and Chrysler as a condition of the Canadian government's bailout of those automakers earlier this year -- including a wage freeze for the life of the contract, a freeze on cost-of-living adjustments after June, the elimination of one paid week off and increased insurance co-payments.
In exchange, Ford agreed to add additional work at its Windsor engine factory and committed to bring a new global platform to its Oakville Assembly Plant sometime after 2012. About 10 percent of Ford's North American production will remain in Canada, which is equal to its sales there.
But Ford will close its assembly plant in St. Thomas, Ontario, in September 2011 when production of the Ford Crown Victoria and Lincoln Town Car ends. That means approximately 1,400 Ford CAW members there will lose their jobs, along with about 6,000 workers employed by suppliers and other companies that support Ford's operations there, according to the union.
"This is devastating for Canada," Lewenza acknowledged, though he said the CAW had negotiated "good" severance benefits for its members, along with a commitment by Ford to offer early-retirement packages at its plants in Windsor and Oakville that could create openings for workers who want to stay at Ford.
Lewenza said the only alternatives were much worse.
"They actually talked about disinvesting in Canada if we didn't extend the pattern to them," he said.
"Our costs are high, relative to U.S. plants -- particularly given the strength of the loonie."
Workers at some UAW plants that voted against the new deal with Ford also are worried that they could lose work if the agreement fails to win ratification.
UAW members at Ford's axle factory in Sterling Heights began circulating a petition Friday calling for a revote after local leaders warned that Ford could transfer new products promised to that plant to a German supplier.
However, UAW President Ron Gettelfinger told reporters later that he would not approve another vote.
More locals reject Ford pact
On Thursday, workers at three more U.S. Ford factories voted against the proposed contract changes, which also would freeze wages and benefits for new hires and give the company greater flexibility in how it deploys employees.
Workers at two Chicago-area complexes soundly rejected the modifications Thursday, as did UAW members at Ford's parts factory in Saline.
Approximately 80 percent of workers at UAW Local 588, which represents workers at Ford's Chicago Stamping Plant, voted against the deal, while 70 percent voted no at UAW Local 551, which represents the Chicago Assembly Plant. At Saline, 75 percent of workers voted against ratification.
While the UAW is not releasing official figures until voting is completed, at least 11 locals now have rejected the agreement. At least four have voted in favor of ratification. A simple majority of Ford's 41,000 UAW-represented workers must approve the deal for it to pass.
While Lewenza stressed that the UAW vote is "not relevant to our decisions here," he said CAW members are certainly aware of the surprise opposition to the U.S. agreement. But he urged them to think differently.
"Our members face a critical choice," Lewenza said.
"Ford is not in good financial shape. ... They have a lot of debt."
What Ford does have, he said, is new product that is beginning to win back consumers in both Canada and the United States, and he said workers need to do what they can to help the company's turnaround succeed.
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